| 
 
 
 
Summary 
Since the 1990s, when the Soviet Union collapsed and the       founder of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Kim Il Sung, died,       experts have warned that the North Korean regime was on the brink of       collapse. And since the 1990s, the experts have been wrong. North Korea       has been remarkably resilient in the face of war, international       sanctions, famine and natural disaster. Twice has a system that       supposedly functioned only by the will of its supreme leader transferred       power to a chosen successor, and in doing so it has created a dynasty       that is, for better or worse, unlike any other. Now, under its third       leader, Kim Jong Un, the grandson of the founder, it is commanding the       world’s attention like never before. In the following report, we set       forth to answer a simple question: What explains the longevity of the       government in Pyongyang? 
Introduction 
North Korea as we know it was created by an agreement       between the United States and the Soviet Union in 1945. Before then, the       peninsula had been occupied by foreign powers off and on for years, but       it had never been divided like it is today. 
Visions of Korea 
The Soviets installed Kim Il Sung in 1948, shortly after       the partition, and conditions were ripe for his ascension. North Korea       had been occupied by the Japanese for nearly four decades, and the       country was eager for a Korean leader. He lived, perhaps ironically, most       of his early life outside Korea – his parents escaped the Japanese       occupation, so he grew up in Manchuria in northern China. When he grew       up, he became a guerrilla, fighting the very people his parents had fled. 
 
Once it was founded, North Korea couldn’t escape Soviet       influence; Moscow propped it up, and in any case the countries share a       border. In fact, Kim Il Sung was educated in the Soviet Union and served       as a major in the Soviet military during World War II. He left the Soviet       Union only after the war ended. 
 
And though the party Kim would lead was, in part, a       consequence of Soviet influence, it was not simply an extension of it.       It’s best thought of as an instrument of “oriental despotism,” an       oft-forgotten political philosophy popularized by Karl Marx that       describes an extremely centralized regime with absolute power of its       central bureaucracy. The government in this system is the sole business proprietor       and organizer of economic activity. It uses coercion and military force       to govern. The people who live under it have no personal liberties.       Oriental despotism concedes that, for a variety of reasons, including       geography, despots of the “East” simply function differently from those       of the West – predisposing them to anti-colonialism, nationalism and       fierce self-sufficiency. 
  
Indeed, Kim Il Sung was, at his heart, a Korean       nationalist. It didn’t take him long to subvert Soviet interests to his       own. He was, after all, responsible for the invasion of the South in a       failed bid to reunify the peninsula. Kim never fully endorsed the       measures Nikita Khrushchev introduced to break the cult of personality       that surrounded Stalin – it was a tool that had served Kim well – and       never really took part in China’s Cultural Revolution. Put differently,       his regime was never prototypically communist – power rested in the Kim       family and a handful of elite party members, not the party writ large. 
 
Kim’s philosophy is perhaps best captured by a policy       known as Juche, which was the foundation of the North Korean regime.       Usually translated as “self-reliance,” Juche emphasizes the role of the       individual as the master of his or her destiny, the driving force behind,       in Kim’s words, the “revolution and construction.” It rests on three       pillars: independence in politics, self-sufficiency in economics and self-reliance       in defense. In some ways, it was just what Koreans needed to hear after       decades of occupation: “Reject foreign powers, and create the country you       want.” 
 
After Kim died, his son and successor, Kim Jong Il,       reinforced one particular aspect of the Juche policy: the military. In       what came to be known as the Songun policy, Kim prioritized the       development of the North Korean military and gave its leaders more power       in the government. The policy harkens back to the anti-imperialist       sentiment that existed even before North Korea became a country, and so       it was relatively easy to enact what the policy called for: arming the       nation, training all soldiers to fulfill responsibilities above their       rank, fortifying the country and modernizing the armed forces. 
 
The transition from Juche to Songun was fairly smooth – it       was less of a radical departure than it was a natural evolution of one       policy to the next. Songun merely elevated the military, with Kim as its       leader, to a higher role in government. And though the policy may have       empowered the military over the other aspects of Juche – political       independence and self-sufficient economics – it didn’t forsake them. Kim       Il Sung’s vision for the Korean Peninsula was still intact; it just       featured the military more prominently than it once did. 
 
This vision of Korea evolved further when Kim Jong Il’s       son and successor, Kim Jong Un, introduced Byungjin in 2013. An early       attempt for the newest Kim to make his mark, Byungjin called for the       parallel pursuit of economic development and nuclear weapons. (Observers       of North Korea initially thought Byungjin would open the North Korean       economy to the rest of the world. It did no such thing.) Pyongyang had,       of course, been pursuing a nuclear weapon for some time,       conducting tests as early as 2006. Much like Songun had done to Juche,       Byungjin formalized and prioritized aspects of North Korean policy that were       already there: self-sufficiency in economics and self-reliance in       defense. 
  
  
One Purpose 
With so much power placed in the supreme leader, it’s       little wonder that the North Korean government is structured for one       purpose above all others: survival. State organizations exist only to       support the supreme leader and a select group of officials (read: the       regime) and serve one of two specific purposes. The first is to create       policy and regulations that align with Kim’s philosophy and advance his       agenda. The second is to enforce government policies and ensure       compliance by military members, government members and civilians. 
 
Law 
 
The legislature, the Supreme People’s Assembly, is the       highest organization in North Korea, at least according to the       constitution. It has 687 members and a presidium that can perform the       same functions as the assembly when it has recessed. The assembly has the       power to change the constitution, set basic policies for domestic and       foreign policy, pass laws, ratify budgets and treaties and, ostensibly,       elect and recall officials. In theory, the chairman of the State Affairs       Commission (whoever is the supreme leader, in this case Kim Jong Un), the       State Affairs Commission, the Presidium of the Supreme People’s Assembly,       the Cabinet and the Committees of the Supreme People’s Assembly can       submit legislation to the assembly for consideration. But in practice,       the assembly’s actions are largely dictated by the supreme leader. 
 
The State Affairs Commission is the source and arbiter of       all policy. It is primarily responsible for defense and economic       development – unsurprisingly, the two components of Kim Jong Un’s       Byungjin policy. As chairman, Kim not only is responsible for the       commission’s general operations but also is the head of the armed forces. This role confers on       him the power to call a state of emergency, declare war, mobilize the       military inside the country and, in times of war, direct the National       Defense Commission. (The State Affairs Commission replaced the National       Defense Commission in 2016, but it can be revived in wartime.) 
Kim Jong Il (R) and Kim Il Sung (L) inspecting a soccer       ground in Pyongyang in 1992. AFP/Getty Images 
  
There are other areas in which executive political powers       bleed into military powers. North Korea even has structures in place to       harmonize political affairs and martial affairs. One such structure is       the Korean People’s Army General Political Department, which is       controlled by the party. It liaises between the party and the military to       ensure that the supreme leader retains control of the armed forces, and       it monitors military behavior, discipline, promotions, indoctrination,       education and general administration. It also surveils the public. 
 
It coordinates its actions with the Central Military       Commission, the institution that puts the party’s military and defense       policies into action. It works closely with the State Affairs Commission.       The CMC has the authority to commission research projects, weapons       development and manufacturing, outside acquisition and defense spending.       It also determines how resources from military-controlled production       units will be allocated. Under Kim Jong Un, the CMC has been reduced from       15-20 members to 12 members, many of whom are senior officials either in       the Ministry of State Security or the Ministry of People’s Security       rather than the military itself. Some reports suggest that some members       also occupy seats on the Political Bureau, giving them even more       influence over military and state affairs. 
 
Other notable entities include the Ministry of People’s       Armed Forces and the Korean People’s Army General Staff Department.       The ministry oversees the logistical, political and personnel aspects of       the military. It also coordinates relations with foreign militaries,       regulates military-owned businesses ventures and helps to indoctrinate       servicemen. 
 
The General Staff Department, on the other hand, is the       traditional institution of military management. It coordinates the       different branches of the military, formulates strategy and issues orders       to the branches. It also manages specialty bureaus such as       electronic warfare, weapons supply, equipment, training and       transportation. 
 
Order 
 
Policy and procedure, of course, are meant to be enforced,       and North Korea has a variety of ways it can enforce them. The Ministry       of State Security is North Korea’s primary counterintelligence service       and reports directly to Kim. It operates prison camps, investigates cases       of domestic espionage, repatriates defectors and conducts overseas       counterespionage activities. (This differs from the Ministry of People’s       Security, which is responsible for public order and civilian control.) 
 
The Military Security Command, on the other hand, is the       eyes and ears of the military. It monitors the activities of military       commanders and political loyalists – a mandate that gives it far-reaching       powers to investigate and arrest in a variety of jurisdictions. 
 
There are also government agencies meant specifically to       protect the supreme leader and the government. The Pyongyang Defense       Command, for example, is a corps-level mobile unit that protects the       capital city and secures select buildings in the event of a coup. The       command has tank divisions, an artillery brigade and heavy weapons       brigade. It is linked closely to the Supreme Guard Command, the Kim       family’s personal security service, and the III Corps, an army unit that       defends the areas immediately outside Pyongyang. (The Supreme Guard       Command also monitors the electronic communications of the country’s       leaders.) 
A New Complexion 
The structure of the regime is built around a single       leader with absolute authority. But even absolute leaders need       supporters. He is therefore compelled to purge, appoint and reorganize       upon assuming control. Subsequent purges and appointments are used to       maintain control. (Since the party and the military are the only vehicles       of power in North Korea, there are always people willing to fill vacant       posts.) The process takes about three to five years, and once he       consolidates power he formalizes his policy priorities and tailors the       system by making changes in the constitution. 
 
This goes a long way to explain the Kims’ staying power.       Specific roles, titles and offices have changed, but the general       apparatus has remained the same. There is strong party leadership, a       strong military and total control over civilian life. What differences       exist under each Kim reflect only subtle changes in political philosophy. 
 
Kim Jong Un’s tenure is a case in point. After assuming       power, he spent the first two years or so dismissing and executing       potential rivals. In May 2016, during the 7th Congress of the ruling       Workers’ Party, Kim reinstated the Workers’ Party chairmanship and several       vice chairmanships. (He was, naturally, elected its chairman.) He also       reduced the number of military personnel on the Political Bureau. Then in       June 2016, during the 13th Supreme People’s Assembly, he modified the       constitution, formally replacing the National Defense Commission with the       State Affairs Commission. (Kim was, naturally, chosen to head it.) The       new commission assumed the responsibilities of the previous one and added       things like the economy and foreign policy to its portfolio. 
 
Kim Jong Un appears to have given his government a new       complexion that de-emphasized the military and brought the economy back       to the fore. That’s partly true, but the larger point is that he       installed people who would be loyal to him, just as his father had,       albeit in slightly different ways. 
Conclusion 
And so the current incarnation of the regime survives       because it’s loyal enough to the founding principles of the country but       just innovative enough to adapt to the times. The power of its leader,       who reigns absolute, is fueled by nationalism and sustained by a       structure that has every reason to keep him in place. That, and a       zero-tolerance policy toward dissent, explains why the regime has       stood stalwart these many years. | 
0 comments:
Publicar un comentario