viernes, 18 de marzo de 2016

viernes, marzo 18, 2016

Bulls: Nothing Can Stop Us
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funny animated GIF 

To my thinking once again, the best bulls can do is take us back to the ugly and unproductive trading range of 2015 & early 2016. Savant, I am not. I adhere to the philosophy of economist Edgar Fielder who stated: “If you must forecast, forecast often”.

There is no economic data or earnings to suggest happy days are here again. The only policy the Fed knows is one is to keep printing more money giving corporations the ability for borrow on the cheap and buy shares back in the open market. That creates a lower amount of float stimulating share prices to rise to the betterment of shareholders. While all shareholders benefit in the short-term, those with lucrative stock options benefit the most. This, in many ways, has created the wealth inequality we here so much about.

However, at the same time, this buyback activity robs investors of long term growth as corporate investing for the long-term growth disappears.

So stock markets rose again with the duo of cheap money and no interest rate hikes in the near future gold. Gold and weaker interest rates assured allowed the dollar to fall and commodities overall to rise. Janet probably knew these low interest rate policies meant this would be the outcome.

(I’m still having some issues with writing affecting my hands, please bear with me.)

3-17-2016 2-40-25 PM

Volume pretty much matched yesterday’s level and breadth per the WSJ was positive.

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3-17-2016 2-41-10 PM 
12-17-2015 9-04-44 PM Chart of the Day
 
 
 
 
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Charts of the Day


  • SPY 5 MINUTE

    SPY 5 MINUTE


  • SPX DAILY

    SPX DAILY

  • SPX WEEKLY

    SPX WEEKLY

  • INDU DAILY

    INDU DAILY

  • INDU WEEKLY

    INDU WEEKLY

  • RUT WEEKLY

    RUT WEEKLY

  • NDX WEEKLY

    NDX WEEKLY

  • NYMO DAILY

    NYMO DAILY
    The NYMO is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on the NYSE. When readings are +60/-60 markets are extended short-term.

  • NYSI DAILY

    NYSI DAILY
    The McClellan Summation Index is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator. It is a market breadth indicator, and interpretation is similar to that of the McClellan Oscillator, except that it is more suited to major trends. I believe readings of +1000/-1000 reveal markets as much extended.



  • VIX WEEKLY

    VIX WEEKLY
    The VIX is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge". Our own interpretation has changed due to a variety of new factors including HFTs, new VIX linked ETPs and a multitude of new products to leverage trading and change or obscure prior VIX relevance.















Consumer Sentiment Friday may show good readings since it more weighted by stock prices than its rival Consumer Confidence.

Then there’s the  all-important quad-witching which can have an effect, especially on volume.

Let’s see what happens.

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